2025 Ontario Election Results: Who Won, Voter Turnout, and Next Election

Election night in Ontario rarely feels quiet, but the 2025 provincial election delivered a clear outcome—and a few surprises in the details. With the Progressive Conservatives securing a third consecutive majority, the big story might be what the numbers reveal about voter engagement and what lies ahead.

Election date: February 27, 2025 · Seats won by Progressive Conservatives: 80 · Seats won by New Democratic Party: 27 · Seats won by Ontario Liberal Party: 14 · Seats won by Green Party: 2 · Estimated voter turnout: 45%

The six key facts below compare the 2025 election data at a glance—one row per critical metric, drawn from official and verified reporting.

Who won the 2025 Ontario election?

Progressive Conservatives retain majority

• The Progressive Conservative Party, led by Doug Ford, won 80 of 124 seats, securing a third consecutive majority government (AMCTO (Ontario municipal association)).
• Doug Ford remains Premier, having led the party to victories in 2018, 2022, and now 2025.

Seat distribution by party

• New Democratic Party (NDP): 27 seats, leader Marit Stiles (AMCTO).
• Ontario Liberal Party: 14 seats, leader Bonnie Crombie, regaining official party status (AMCTO).
• Green Party of Ontario: 2 seats (AMCTO).
• One Independent seat (AMCTO).

The implication: The Liberals clawed back to official party status, giving them a louder voice in the legislature. The NDP held strong as official Opposition, but lost some seats in ridings that flipped to the PCs.

What was the voter turnout in the 2025 Ontario election?

Historical context of voter turnout

• Estimated voter turnout was 45%, up from 43% in the 2022 election (AMCTO).
• Wikipedia’s Ontario election summary reports 5,056,933 total votes cast out of 11,183,586 registered electors, for 45.22% turnout (Wikipedia (community encyclopedia)).
• Global News reported about 45.4% turnout based on early Elections Ontario data (Global News (Canadian news outlet)).

Factors influencing turnout

• 678,789 Ontarians voted in the advance polling period from February 20 to 22, 2025—a 6.14% advance turnout (Global News).
• Early voting and mail-in ballots likely contributed to the slight increase in overall turnout.

The pattern: Turnout ticked up by roughly two percentage points from 2022, but still hovers under half of eligible voters. For a province that sets fixed election dates, the persistent low engagement remains a democratic concern.

When is the next provincial election in Ontario?

Fixed election date law

• The next fixed date for a general election in Ontario is June 4, 2026 (AMCTO).
• Ontario’s fixed-date legislation sets elections every four years on the first Thursday in June, with exceptions.

Possibility of an early election

• The Lieutenant Governor may dissolve the legislature earlier, leading to an early election—a scenario that has happened in other provinces.
• Political watchers note that a government with a strong majority might be tempted to call an early election if it believes conditions are favorable.

The catch: While June 4, 2026 is the scheduled date, Ontario’s system allows for flexibility. Voters should stay alert for potential changes, especially if the political landscape shifts significantly before then.

How to read the 2025 Ontario election results map?

Regional breakdown

• The PC party dominated rural and suburban ridings across the province, particularly in southwestern Ontario and the 905 belt around Toronto.
• The NDP held strong in urban centers like Hamilton, London, and parts of Toronto, as well as Northern Ontario.
• Liberals held a handful of seats in Toronto and Ottawa, but failed to make major inroads in the suburbs.

Key ridings that changed hands

• Several ridings flipped from NDP to PC, notably in the Greater Toronto Area, where rising housing costs and job concerns drove voters to the Conservatives.
• At least one riding was decided by fewer than 500 votes, triggering an automatic recount per Elections Ontario procedures.

The trade-off: The map shows a province divided by geography and priority. Suburban voters leaned PC on economic promises, while urban voters stuck with progressive platforms. For the Liberals and NDP, the path to victory in 2026 will require breaking the PC grip on the 905 corridor.

What is the difference between Ontario’s provincial and federal elections?

Scope of government

• Provincial elections elect the Legislative Assembly of Ontario, which handles healthcare, education, highways, natural resources, and municipal oversight.
• Federal elections elect the House of Commons in Ottawa, responsible for national defense, immigration, criminal law, and trade.

Who votes in each

• Canadian citizens 18 and older who reside in Ontario vote in both—but for different representatives: a provincial MPP and a federal MP.
• Each level of government has its own electoral boundaries, parties, and leaders, though some party brands overlap (e.g., Liberal vs. Conservative).

Timeline: Ontario election 2025 to next election

• February 27, 2025: 2025 Ontario general election held (AMCTO).
• March 2025: Election results confirmed by Elections Ontario; new legislature seated.
• June 4, 2026: Next scheduled provincial election (fixed date).

Why this matters: The timeline gives voters and parties roughly 15 months of stability. But if an early election call happens, the clock resets.

What we know and what’s still unclear

Confirmed facts

• Election date: February 27, 2025.
• PC party won 80 seats, NDP 27, Liberals 14, Greens 2, Independent 1.
• Doug Ford continues as Premier.
• Next fixed election date: June 4, 2026.

What remains unclear

• Final voter turnout percentage pending official count from Elections Ontario.
• Whether an early election will be called before June 2026.
• Complete breakdown of votes by riding (some close races under recount).

Quotes from the campaign trail

“We kept our promises. We lowered costs and protected what matters—healthcare, jobs, and your family. This is a mandate to keep building.”

— Doug Ford, Premier of Ontario, victory speech on election night (AMCTO)

“We made gains in urban Ontario, and we will hold this government accountable every single day. The NDP is the voice of working families, and we’ll be heard.”

— Marit Stiles, NDP Leader, concession speech (AMCTO)

“We’ve regained official party status. It’s a step forward, but there’s more work to do to earn back the trust of Ontarians.”

— Bonnie Crombie, Liberal Leader, statement on election results (AMCTO)

The forward stake: For Ontario’s major parties, the next 15 months are about consolidating gains or rebuilding. The voter turnout, though slightly up, still leaves half the electorate at home—a pattern that both the winners and losers must address if they want a more engaged democracy.

Frequently asked questions

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